gold cup

What happens if Mexico win, tie or lose vs USA today at the 2025 Concacaf Gold Cup final?

Mexico and the USMNT face off in the 2025 Concacaf Gold Cup final. With both teams entering the game in great form, setting the stage for a fiercely competitive battle on the pitch.

Malik Tillman #17 of the United States dribbles the ball in the second half during the finals of the CONCACAF Gold Cup 2025 between the United States and Mexico at NRG Stadium on July 06, 2025 in Houston, Texas.
© Omar Vega/Getty ImagesMalik Tillman #17 of the United States dribbles the ball in the second half during the finals of the CONCACAF Gold Cup 2025 between the United States and Mexico at NRG Stadium on July 06, 2025 in Houston, Texas.

The 2025 Concacaf Gold Cup has delivered a thrilling blend of unexpected outcomes and fierce competition. Panama made an early exit after falling to Honduras, while Canada faced a surprising defeat by Guatemala. Also, the United States have also struggled, grappling with challenges to secure their victories in recent games. In contrast, Mexico have demonstrated impressive consistency and strength across the board, establishing themselves as the team to beat in this year’s competition.

The USMNT launched a promising start in the final, netting an early goal just four minutes into the match. However, their offensive prowess quickly waned. Throughout the tournament, the absence of Weston McKennie proved detrimental, as his skills were sorely missed in stabilizing the midfield. Moreover, lapses in individual marking allowed Javier Aguirre’s squad to regain control and exploit the gaps.

In contrast, Mexico have emerged as a formidable force in Concacaf, showcasing a project brimming with potential. This year, they have demonstrated impressive defensive solidity, anchored by standouts like Cesar Montes, Johan Vasquez, and Edson Alvarez. Beyond their defense, Mexico’s roster features rising stars such as Gilberto Mora—the tournament’s breakout talent—and Santiago Giménez.

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What happens if Mexico beat USA?

If Mexico defeat USA, they are crowned 2025 Concacaf Gold Cup champion. With this, they would reach their tenth victory in the tournament, consolidating their position as the tournament’s top winner, leaving Maurizio Pochettino’s team behind with a three-title lead. This would consolidate their sporting project as the most exciting in CONCACAF, just prior to the FIFA World Cup 2026, to which they would arrive in excellent shape.

Alexis Vega #10 of Mexico reacts after scoring a goal during the second half of the 2025 CONCACAF Gold Cup quarterfinal match against Saudi Arabia at State Farm Stadium

Alexis Vega #10 of Mexico reacts after scoring a goal during the second half of the 2025 CONCACAF Gold Cup quarterfinal match against Saudi Arabia at State Farm Stadium

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What happens if Mexico and USA tie?

In the event of a tie between the USMNT and Mexico at the end of regulation time, the game transitions into extra time. Both teams will compete in two 15-minute periods, striving to score a decisive goal. If they remain stalemated after extra time, a penalty shootout will ultimately determine the 2025 Concacaf Gold Cup champion.

Video: Raul Jimenez honors Diogo Jota with heartfelt gesture after scoring against USA in 2025 Concacaf Gold Cup final

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What happens if Mexico lose to USA?

If Mexico fall to the USMNT, the USA will secure the 2025 Concacaf Gold Cup title. This victory would represent their eighth Gold Cup win, bringing them within one championship of Mexico’s record as the all-time leader in the tournament’s history. Additionally, this success would add a fourth coaching title to Mauricio Pochettino’s esteemed career.

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