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What happens if Porto win, tie or lose vs Al Ahly today at the FIFA Club World Cup 2025 group stage finale?

Porto face Al Ahly on Matchday 3 of the FIFA Club World Cup 2025 in a crucial showdown as neither team has secured a spot yet. They aim to advance to the Round of 16, so expect fierce competition as they battle for the win.

What happens if Porto win, tie or lose vs Al Ahly today at the FIFA Club World Cup 2025 group stage finale?
Ā© David Ramos/Getty ImagesWhat happens if Porto win, tie or lose vs Al Ahly today at the FIFA Club World Cup 2025 group stage finale?

Despite having entered the FIFA Club World Cup 2025 as one of the frontrunners, FC Porto have struggled to find their rhythm and remain without a win in the tournament. Meanwhile, Al Ahly, defying early predictions, remain in contention with their chances mirroring those of the Portuguese side. This sets the stage for a high-stakes showdown as both teams need a victory to advance.

Al Ahly, initially seen as unlikely to reach the tournament’s second round, have shown resilience. They earned a crucial draw against Inter Miami in their opening match. With key players like Mahmoud Trezeguet and Ahmed Sayed Zizo in their ranks, Al Ahly are poised to challenge Porto effectively.

Martin Anselmi’s tenure at Porto has yet to yield favorable results. After finishing third in the Portuguese league, they missed UEFA Champions League entry. Despite those setbacks, they have promising players like Rodrigo Mora and Gabriel Veiga. Also, Samu Aghehowa adds depth, offering a chance against the Egyptians. To survive in the FIFA Club World Cup 2025, the Portuguese team must regain defensive reliability.

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What happens if Porto beat Al Ahly?

If Porto beat Al Ahly, they will climb to four points in the Group A standings, matching the total of whichever team loses the Inter Miami (4) vs. Palmeiras (4) clash. However, if Inter Miami lose to Palmeiras, then Porto will still get eliminated. In this scenario, the Club World Cup tiebreak rules would see the MLS side gain the upper hand due to the first criteria for a tiebreak, which is to head-to-head results between tied teams. Let’s keep in mind that Inter Miami beat Porto 2-1 on Matchday 2.

Samu Aghehowa

Samu Aghehowa of Porto

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Everything shifts if Palmeiras lose to Lionel Messi and Inter Miami. In that scenario, goal differential would come into play, which is why Porto would need to finish with a higher differential than Palmeiras.

However, a Porto victory won’t matter if Palmeiras and Inter Miami draw, as that would see them secure the first two places in Group A with 5 points each.

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Where to watch Porto vs Al Ahly live in the USA: FIFA Club World Cup 2025

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What happens if Porto and Al Ahly tie?

If Porto and Al Ahly play to a draw on Matchday 3 of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup, both sides will finish with just two points and be eliminated from contention. As a result, Palmeiras and Inter Miami would advance as the only teams to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 ahead of the final group stage matches.

What happens if Porto lose to Al Ahly?

If Al Ahly defeat Porto, they will climb to four points in Group A, equaling the total of the team that loses the Inter Miami vs. Palmeiras matchup. Of course, only if there’s a loser in that game. If Inter Miami and Palmeiras tie, Al Ahly would also be eliminated even if they win.

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In the event Inter Miami lose and Al Ahly win, both would be tied with four points and the tiebreak rules would come into play. Both teams finished scoreless in their debut, so the goal differential would make the difference. If Palmeiras win, Al Ahly won’t have any chances even if they win, since they already lost to the Brazilian team in the group stage.

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