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What happens if Italy win, tie or lose vs Bosnia and Herzegovina today in UEFA 2026 World Cup Qualifiers?

Italy faces Bosnia and Herzegovina in a decisive UEFA 2026 World Cup Qualifiers playoff, where every possible result carries immediate consequences for their path to the tournament.

Mateo Retegui of Italy during a FIFA World Cup 2026 qualifier match.
© Mattia Ozbot/Getty ImagesMateo Retegui of Italy during a FIFA World Cup 2026 qualifier match.

Italy face a pivotal test today against Bosnia and Herzegovina national soccer team in the UEFA 2026 World Cup Qualifiers, with their path to the tournament increasingly under the spotlight. Follow Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Italy live with us!

For Gennaro Gattuso‘s men, the stakes are clear: after finishing second in their qualifying group, they were forced into this playoff path, where only one team advances from each bracket to secure a spot in the FIFA tournament.

That context turns this matchup into a winner-takes-all scenario. A victory sends Italy to the 2026 World Cup, while any other result still carries the same risk: one team moves on, and the other is eliminated.

What happens if Italy beat Bosnia and Herzegovina today?

Italy would qualify directly for the 2026 World Cup, joining Group B alongside Canada, Qatar, and Switzerland. This match is a one-game playoff final within the UEFA 2026 World Cup Qualifiers structure, meaning there is no second leg or margin for recovery.

Edin Dzeko of Bosnia and Herzegovina celebrates with teammates in 2026 (Source: Warren Little/Getty Images)

Edin Dzeko of Bosnia and Herzegovina celebrates with teammates in 2026 (Source: Warren Little/Getty Images)

For them, a win would end a 12-year absence from the World Cup and avoid a third straight failure to qualify after missing 2018 and 2022. It would also validate their playoff run after advancing from the semifinals earlier this window.

What happens if Italy and Bosnia and Herzegovina tie today?

If Italy and Bosnia and Herzegovina are tied after 90 minutes, the match goes to extra time and, if still level, to a penalty shootout, where the winner qualifies and the loser is eliminated.

This is a single-game playoff final, so a draw does not count as a final result. Instead, both teams must continue playing until one wins. Two 15-minute extra-time periods are played, and if the score remains tied, the game is decided by penalties.

What happens if Italy lose to Bosnia and Herzegovina today?

If Italy lose at any point—whether in 90 minutes, extra time, or penalties—they are eliminated and will not qualify for the 2026 World Cup. There is no second leg, no aggregate score, and no fallback path.

This playoff format is strictly winner-takes-all, meaning a single defeat ends the campaign immediately. The Bosnia and Herzegovina national soccer team would secure the qualification spot by advancing from this final.