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What happens if Miami wins, ties or loses vs Ole Miss today in Fiesta Bowl at 2026 CFP?

Carson Beck’s Miami Hurricanes are looking to punch their ticket to the National Championship Game, but first they’ll have to get past the Ole Miss Rebels in the Fiesta Bowl.

Carson Beck #11 of the Miami Hurricanes.
© Stacy Revere/Getty ImagesCarson Beck #11 of the Miami Hurricanes.

The College Football Playoff is entering its most decisive stage, with four teams battling for a spot in the National Championship Game. One of them is the Miami Hurricanes, who, led by Carson Beck, will look to take down the Ole Miss Rebels in the Fiesta Bowl to reach the season’s ultimate showdown.

Mario Cristobal guided his Hurricanes to a 12–2 overall record and into the semifinals following a thrilling quarterfinal matchup. There, Miami delivered a decisive 24–14 victory over the Ohio State Buckeyes on December 31, knocking out the defending champions.

On the other side, the Rebels didn’t let the entire saga surrounding former head coach Lane Kiffin distract them, and they made a strong statement in the bracket. To reach this stage, Ole Miss pulled off a dramatic 39–34 win over Georgia in what has been one of the most thrilling games of this CFP.

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What happens if Miami defeats Ole Miss in the 2026 Fiesta Bowl today?

If Miami defeats Ole Miss in the Fiesta Bowl, the Hurricanes will officially punch their ticket to the 2026 National Championship Game, marking their first appearance on the sport’s biggest stage since 2002. Their opponent would be Indiana or Oregon, who face off in the Peach Bowl on Friday.

Mario Cristobal looks during a game

Head coach Mario Cristobal of the Miami Hurricanes looks on during a game against South Florida.

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This historic win would validate Mario Cristobal’s vision for the program, proving that “The U” is back as a dominant force and setting the stage for a winner-take-all showdown for the title.

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What happens if Miami and Ole Miss tie today?

If Miami and Ole Miss remain tied at the end of regulation, the game enters a do-or-die overtime period where each team gets one possession on offense and one on defense. The team that scores the most points wins the game. If the game is still tied after an overtime period, there will be another overtime period. In the event of a second overtime period, teams will have to run a 2-point conversion play after a touchdown. If a third overtime is required, teams will run alternating 2-point plays, instead of starting another drive at the opponent’s 25-yard line.

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What happens if Miami loses to Ole Miss?

If Miami loses to Ole Miss in the Fiesta Bowl, its historic underdog run comes to a heartbreaking end just one step short of the title game. A loss would eliminate the Hurricanes from the College Football Playoff, officially ending their season and shifting the focus toward a top-ten finish in the final rankings and the momentum of Mario Cristobal’s best season yet in Coral Gables. In this case, it would be the Rebels who reach the Natty to take on the Hoosiers or Ducks at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami.

When and where will Miami and Ole Miss play?

The Miami Hurricanes and the Ole Miss Rebels will face off in the Fiesta Bowl on Thursday, January 8, 2026. The game will be played at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, with kickoff scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (5:30 p.m. local time)

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