A blockbuster night awaits as Real Madrid visits Manchester City for the second leg of their UEFA Champions League Round of 16 tie. Kickoff is scheduled for 4 PM ET, with the series still wide open heading into the decisive match.

Manager Alvaro Arbeloa brings Madrid into the clash looking to control the tie against the side coached by Pep Guardiola. Meetings between these two European heavyweights have become a modern Champions League rivalry.

Kylian Mbappe could play against Manchester City today after returning to training ahead of the match. The French forward’s potential involvement gives the coach another elite attacking option as the Spanish club tries to navigate a tense second leg.

What happens if Real Madrid beat Manchester City today?

If Real Madrid beat Manchester City today, they will advance to the UEFA Champions League quarterfinals and face the winner of the Bayern Munich vs. Atalanta tie. The Spanish giants already hold a 3–0 aggregate lead.

Kylian Mbappe during a training session ahead of the UEFA Champions League 2025/26 Round of 16 Second Leg match (Source: Alex Livesey/Getty Images)

Another win would extend that advantage and confirm their place among the tournament’s final eight teams. Real Madrid built that margin thanks to a first-half hat trick by Federico Valverde at the Santiago Bernabeu.

What happens if Real Madrid and Manchester City tie?

If Real Madrid and Manchester City tie today, they will still advance to the Champions League quarterfinals. Because if the aggregate, any draw in the second leg would be enough to secure qualification.

Results such as 0–0, 1–1 or 2–2 would all allow the Spanish club to progress, since Man City would still trail in the overall score across the two matches. In knockout ties like this, the aggregate score determines the winner unless both teams finish level after the second leg.

What happens if Real Madrid lose to Manchester City today?

If Real Madrid lose today, they can still qualify for the UEFA Champions League quarterfinals unless Manchester City win by at least four goals. Madrid’s 3–0 aggregate lead means they have a significant margin.

If City wins by three goals (for example 3–0 or 4–1), the aggregate score would be tied and the match would go to extra time, followed by a penalty shootout if necessary. If they win by four or more goals, Pep Guardiola’s men would complete a remarkable comeback and eliminate Real Madrid.